FC Lorientvs
FC NantesFC Lorient 2-1 FC Nantes — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 31 Jan 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Lorient50%
- FC Lorient 50%
- Draw 24%
- FC Nantes 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Lorient, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Lorient won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Nantes's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Lorient: LDLLW
FC Nantes: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | FC Lorient vs FC Nantes | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-31 | FC Lorient vs FC Nantes | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC Nantes vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-24 | FC Lorient vs Nantes | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Nantes vs FC Lorient | 5–3 |
| 2023-02-12 | Nantes vs FC Lorient | 1–0 |
| 2022-09-11 | FC Lorient vs Nantes | 3–2 |
| 2022-01-23 | Nantes vs FC Lorient | 4–2 |
| 2021-12-05 | FC Lorient vs Nantes | 0–1 |
| 2021-03-21 | Nantes vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Lorient vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Lorient (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Lorient vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Sat, 31 Jan 2026 18:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Lorient vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.