FC Lorientvs
AS Saint-EtienneFC Lorient 6-2 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2021-2022Fri, 08 Apr 2022 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Lorient56%
- FC Lorient 56%
- Draw 22%
- AS Saint-Etienne 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Lorient, rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Lorient won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
FC Lorient: LDLLW
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-08 | FC Lorient vs AS Saint-Etienne | 6–2 |
| 2021-08-08 | AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-28 | FC Lorient vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–1 |
| 2020-08-30 | AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Lorient | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Lorient vs AS Saint-Etienne?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Lorient (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Lorient vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
- Fri, 08 Apr 2022 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2021-2022.
- What is the FC Lorient vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.