AS Saint-Etiennevs
Olympique LyonnaisAS Saint-Etienne 2-1 Olympique Lyonnais — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 20 Apr 2025 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais57%
- AS Saint-Etienne 23%
- Draw 21%
- Olympique Lyonnais 57%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 56.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Olympique Lyonnais's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Olympique Lyonnais: DLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-20 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Olympique Lyonnais | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Olympique Lyonnais vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–0 |
| 2022-01-21 | Lyonnais vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-03 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Lyonnais | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-24 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Lyonnais | 0–5 |
| 2020-11-08 | Lyonnais vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs Olympique Lyonnais?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs Olympique Lyonnais kick off?
- Sun, 20 Apr 2025 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs Olympique Lyonnais head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.