Marseillevs
DijonMarseille 2-0 Dijon — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2020-2021Sun, 04 Apr 2021 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Marseille79%
- Marseille 79%
- Draw 16%
- Dijon 5%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Marseille, rating it at 79.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Marseille won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 79.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Marseille: LWLWW
Dijon: LDLDD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-04 | Marseille vs Dijon | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-09 | Dijon vs Marseille | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Marseille vs Dijon?
- Tofiko's model favours Marseille (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Marseille vs Dijon kick off?
- Sun, 04 Apr 2021 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2020-2021.
- What is the Marseille vs Dijon head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.