Olympique de Marseillevs
Toulouse FCOlympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 01 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Olympique de Marseille to win57%
1X2: model backs Olympique de Marseille at 57%.
- Olympique de Marseille
- Draw
- Toulouse FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Olympique de Marseille or draw83%
- Draw or Toulouse FC43%
- Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Olympique de Marseille, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Toulouse FC, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 57.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 3 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Olympique de Marseille: WLLLL
Toulouse FC: DLWDL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC | 3–2 |
| 2024-08-31 | Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–3 |
| 2024-04-21 | Toulouse vs Marseille | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-17 | Marseille vs Toulouse | 0–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Toulouse vs Marseille | 2–3 |
| 2022-12-29 | Marseille vs Toulouse | 6–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.