FC Metzvs
AJ AuxerreFC Metz vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 15 Feb 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Metz 1–3 AJ Auxerre
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AJ Auxerre38%
- FC Metz 37%
- Draw 26%
- AJ Auxerre 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AJ Auxerre, rating it at 37.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Metz won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Metz: WWWWD
AJ Auxerre: DLWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | FC Metz vs AJ Auxerre | 1–3 |
| 2025-12-07 | AJ Auxerre vs FC Metz | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs AJ Auxerre?
- Tofiko's model favours AJ Auxerre (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Metz vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.