FC Metzvs
Lille OSCFC Metz vs Lille OSC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Fri, 06 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Metz 0–0 Lille OSC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lille OSC59%
- FC Metz 18%
- Draw 23%
- Lille OSC 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Metz: WWWWD
Lille OSC: WLWLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | FC Metz vs Lille OSC | 0–0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Lille OSC vs FC Metz | 6–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | FC Metz vs Lille OSC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Lille OSC vs FC Metz | 2–0 |
| 2022-02-18 | Lille OSC vs FC Metz | 0–0 |
| 2021-08-08 | FC Metz vs Lille OSC | 3–3 |
| 2021-04-09 | FC Metz vs Lille OSC | 0–2 |
| 2020-09-13 | Lille OSC vs FC Metz | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs Lille OSC?
- Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Metz vs Lille OSC kick off?
- Fri, 06 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs Lille OSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.