FC Metzvs
Olympique LyonnaisFC Metz 2-5 Olympique Lyonnais — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 25 Jan 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais58%
- FC Metz 21%
- Draw 22%
- Olympique Lyonnais 58%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 57.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Metz: DDDWL
Olympique Lyonnais: DLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.38Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | FC Metz vs Olympique Lyonnais | 2–5 |
| 2025-08-23 | Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Metz | 3–0 |
| 2024-02-23 | FC Metz vs Lyonnais | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-05 | Lyonnais vs FC Metz | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-08 | FC Metz vs Lyonnais | 3–2 |
| 2021-12-22 | Lyonnais vs FC Metz | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-17 | Lyonnais vs FC Metz | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-06 | FC Metz vs Lyonnais | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs Olympique Lyonnais?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Metz vs Olympique Lyonnais kick off?
- Sun, 25 Jan 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs Olympique Lyonnais head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.