FC Metzvs
AS Monaco FCFC Metz vs AS Monaco FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 02 May 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Metz 1–2 AS Monaco FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC61%
- FC Metz 18%
- Draw 21%
- AS Monaco FC 61%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 60.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Metz: WWWWD
AS Monaco FC: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | FC Metz vs AS Monaco FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | AS Monaco FC vs FC Metz | 5–2 |
| 2024-03-30 | FC Metz vs AS Monaco | 2–5 |
| 2023-10-22 | AS Monaco vs FC Metz | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-03 | FC Metz vs AS Monaco | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-05 | AS Monaco vs FC Metz | 4–0 |
| 2021-04-03 | AS Monaco vs FC Metz | 4–0 |
| 2020-08-30 | FC Metz vs AS Monaco | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Metz vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 17:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.