FC Metz vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 05 Apr 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Metz 0–0 FC Nantes
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Metz39%
- FC Metz 39%
- Draw 26%
- FC Nantes 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Metz, rating it at 39.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won 4 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Metz: WWWWD
FC Nantes: WLDLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 13%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | FC Metz vs FC Nantes | 0–0 |
| 2025-11-02 | FC Nantes vs FC Metz | 0–2 |
| 2024-03-03 | Nantes vs FC Metz | 0–2 |
| 2023-11-12 | FC Metz vs Nantes | 3–1 |
| 2022-02-27 | FC Metz vs Nantes | 0–0 |
| 2021-08-15 | Nantes vs FC Metz | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-24 | FC Metz vs Nantes | 2–0 |
| 2020-11-22 | Nantes vs FC Metz | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Metz (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Metz vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Sun, 05 Apr 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.