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FC Metz crestFC MetzvsFC Nantes crestFC Nantes

FC Metz vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sun, 05 Apr 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: FC Metz 00 FC Nantes

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Metz39%

FC Metz 39%
Draw 26%
FC Nantes 35%
  • FC Metz 39%
  • Draw 26%
  • FC Nantes 35%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Metz, rating it at 39.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won 4 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Metz: WWWWD

FC Nantes: WLDLW

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 13%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-05FC Metz vs FC Nantes0–0
2025-11-02FC Nantes vs FC Metz0–2
2024-03-03Nantes vs FC Metz0–2
2023-11-12FC Metz vs Nantes3–1
2022-02-27FC Metz vs Nantes0–0
2021-08-15Nantes vs FC Metz2–0
2021-01-24FC Metz vs Nantes2–0
2020-11-22Nantes vs FC Metz1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Metz vs FC Nantes?
Tofiko's model favours FC Metz (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Metz vs FC Nantes kick off?
Sun, 05 Apr 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the FC Metz vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

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