Stade de Reims crestStade de ReimsvsFC Metz crestFC Metz

Stade de Reims 2-1 FC Metz — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2023-2024Sun, 17 Mar 2024 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stade de Reims55%

  • Stade de Reims 55%
  • Draw 25%
  • FC Metz 20%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Stade de Reims, rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Stade de Reims won 1 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Stade de Reims: WWDDW

FC Metz: DDDWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.17Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-03-17Stade de Reims vs FC Metz2–1
2023-09-03FC Metz vs Stade de Reims2–2
2022-01-16Stade de Reims vs FC Metz0–1
2021-08-22FC Metz vs Stade de Reims1–1
2021-04-18Stade de Reims vs FC Metz0–0
2020-09-20FC Metz vs Stade de Reims2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stade de Reims vs FC Metz?
Tofiko's model favours Stade de Reims (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stade de Reims vs FC Metz kick off?
Sun, 17 Mar 2024 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2023-2024.
What is the Stade de Reims vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.17 goals per game.

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