FC Metzvs
Stade Brestois 29FC Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Metz 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stade Brestois 2947%
- FC Metz 29%
- Draw 24%
- Stade Brestois 29 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Stade Brestois 29, rating it at 46.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and FC Metz won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Metz: WWWWD
Stade Brestois 29: DLDDL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | FC Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Stade Brestois 29 vs FC Metz | 3–2 |
| 2024-04-07 | Stade Brestois vs FC Metz | 4–3 |
| 2023-12-10 | FC Metz vs Stade Brestois | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-24 | FC Metz vs Stade Brestois | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-26 | Stade Brestois vs FC Metz | 1–2 |
| 2021-01-31 | Stade Brestois vs FC Metz | 2–4 |
| 2020-11-29 | FC Metz vs Stade Brestois | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Tofiko's model favours Stade Brestois 29 (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 kick off?
- Sun, 01 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.