AS Monaco FCvs
FC NantesAS Monaco FC vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Fri, 13 Feb 2026 20:05 GMTStatus: finished
Final: AS Monaco FC 3–1 FC Nantes
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC67%
- AS Monaco FC 67%
- Draw 20%
- FC Nantes 12%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 67.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Monaco FC won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Monaco FC's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC Nantes's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Monaco FC: DLWLL
FC Nantes: WLDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | AS Monaco FC vs FC Nantes | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-29 | FC Nantes vs AS Monaco FC | 3–5 |
| 2025-02-15 | AS Monaco FC vs FC Nantes | 7–1 |
| 2025-01-10 | FC Nantes vs AS Monaco FC | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-19 | AS Monaco vs Nantes | 4–0 |
| 2023-08-25 | Nantes vs AS Monaco | 3–3 |
| 2023-04-09 | Nantes vs AS Monaco | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-02 | AS Monaco vs Nantes | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-09 | Nantes vs AS Monaco | 0–0 |
| 2021-08-06 | AS Monaco vs Nantes | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Monaco FC vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Monaco FC vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Fri, 13 Feb 2026 20:05 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the AS Monaco FC vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.