Angers SCO crestAngers SCOvsMontpellier HSC crestMontpellier HSC

Angers SCO 2-0 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 13 Apr 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Angers SCO45%

  • Angers SCO 45%
  • Draw 24%
  • Montpellier HSC 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Angers SCO, rating it at 44.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Angers SCO won 4 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Angers SCO's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Angers SCO: WLWWL

Montpellier HSC: DWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-13Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC2–0
2025-01-12Montpellier HSC vs Angers SCO1–3
2023-03-05Montpellier HSC vs Angers SCO5–0
2022-09-11Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC2–1
2022-05-21Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC2–0
2021-12-22Montpellier HSC vs Angers SCO4–1
2021-04-04Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC1–1
2020-09-20Montpellier HSC vs Angers SCO4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC?
Tofiko's model favours Angers SCO (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
Sun, 13 Apr 2025 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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