Montpellier HSCvs
DijonMontpellier HSC 4-2 Dijon — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2020-2021Sun, 07 Feb 2021 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Montpellier HSC63%
- Montpellier HSC 63%
- Draw 20%
- Dijon 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Montpellier HSC, rating it at 62.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Montpellier HSC won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Dijon: LDLDD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Montpellier HSC vs Dijon | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-07 | Montpellier HSC vs Dijon | 4–2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Dijon vs Montpellier HSC | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs Dijon?
- Tofiko's model favours Montpellier HSC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs Dijon kick off?
- Sun, 07 Feb 2021 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2020-2021.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs Dijon head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.