ESTAC Troyesvs
Montpellier HSCESTAC Troyes 0-1 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2022-2023Sun, 19 Feb 2023 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ESTAC Troyes41%
- ESTAC Troyes 41%
- Draw 23%
- Montpellier HSC 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks ESTAC Troyes, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and ESTAC Troyes won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
ESTAC Troyes: WDDDW
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Montpellier HSC vs ES Troyes AC | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | ES Troyes AC vs Montpellier HSC | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | ESTAC Troyes vs Montpellier HSC | 0–1 |
| 2022-08-07 | Montpellier HSC vs ESTAC Troyes | 3–2 |
| 2022-01-19 | Montpellier HSC vs ESTAC Troyes | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-19 | ESTAC Troyes vs Montpellier HSC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ESTAC Troyes vs Montpellier HSC?
- Tofiko's model favours ESTAC Troyes (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does ESTAC Troyes vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
- Sun, 19 Feb 2023 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2022-2023.
- What is the ESTAC Troyes vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.