Montpellier HSCvs
RC LensMontpellier HSC 0-2 RC Lens — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Fri, 31 Jan 2025 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Lens54%
- Montpellier HSC 23%
- Draw 23%
- RC Lens 54%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Montpellier HSC won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. RC Lens's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
RC Lens: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 | Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-08 | RC Lens vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-19 | RC Lens vs Montpellier HSC | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-08 | Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens | 0–0 |
| 2023-02-25 | Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-15 | RC Lens vs Montpellier HSC | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-20 | RC Lens vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-17 | Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-30 | Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-12 | RC Lens vs Montpellier HSC | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens kick off?
- Fri, 31 Jan 2025 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs RC Lens head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.