Montpellier HSC crestMontpellier HSCvsOlympique de Marseille crestOlympique de Marseille

Montpellier HSC 0-5 Olympique de Marseille — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 20 Oct 2024 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Olympique de Marseille55%

Tofiko23% / 22% / 55%
Market22% / 23% / 55%
  • Montpellier HSC
  • Draw
  • Olympique de Marseille

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 55.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Montpellier HSC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Olympique de Marseille's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Montpellier HSC: DWLDW

Olympique de Marseille: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-19Olympique de Marseille vs Montpellier HSC5–1
2024-10-20Montpellier HSC vs Olympique de Marseille0–5
2024-02-25Marseille vs Montpellier HSC4–1
2023-12-20Montpellier HSC vs Marseille1–1
2023-03-31Marseille vs Montpellier HSC1–1
2023-01-02Montpellier HSC vs Marseille1–2
2022-04-10Marseille vs Montpellier HSC2–0
2021-08-08Montpellier HSC vs Marseille2–3
2021-04-10Montpellier HSC vs Marseille3–3
2021-01-06Marseille vs Montpellier HSC3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Montpellier HSC vs Olympique de Marseille?
Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Montpellier HSC vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
Sun, 20 Oct 2024 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the Montpellier HSC vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legMarseille 5-1 Montpellier19 Apr 2025 →