Montpellier HSCvs
AS Monaco FCMontpellier HSC 2-1 AS Monaco FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Fri, 17 Jan 2025 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC57%
- Montpellier HSC 22%
- Draw 21%
- AS Monaco FC 57%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 56.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Montpellier HSC won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
AS Monaco FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-17 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | AS Monaco FC vs Montpellier HSC | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-03 | AS Monaco vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-30 | AS Monaco vs Montpellier HSC | 0–4 |
| 2022-10-09 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco | 0–2 |
| 2022-01-23 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco | 3–2 |
| 2021-10-24 | AS Monaco vs Montpellier HSC | 3–1 |
| 2021-01-15 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco | 2–3 |
| 2020-10-18 | AS Monaco vs Montpellier HSC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Fri, 17 Jan 2025 18:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.