OGC Nicevs
Montpellier HSCOGC Nice 2-0 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 23 Feb 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs OGC Nice59%
- OGC Nice 59%
- Draw 22%
- Montpellier HSC 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick OGC Nice, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and OGC Nice won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
OGC Nice: LDDDL
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-23 | OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice | 2–2 |
| 2024-03-08 | OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-10 | Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-27 | Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice | 2–3 |
| 2023-01-11 | OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC | 6–1 |
| 2022-03-12 | Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice | 0–0 |
| 2021-11-07 | OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC | 0–1 |
| 2021-04-25 | OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC | 3–1 |
| 2020-09-12 | Montpellier HSC vs OGC Nice | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC?
- Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
- Sun, 23 Feb 2025 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.