Toulouse FCvs
Montpellier HSCToulouse FC 1-2 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 26 Jan 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toulouse FC57%
- Toulouse FC 57%
- Draw 23%
- Montpellier HSC 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Toulouse FC, rating it at 57.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Toulouse FC won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Toulouse FC: DLLLW
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC | 0–3 |
| 2024-05-03 | Toulouse vs Montpellier HSC | 1–2 |
| 2023-10-29 | Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-09 | Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-02 | Toulouse vs Montpellier HSC | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC?
- Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
- Sun, 26 Jan 2025 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.