Montpellier HSC crestMontpellier HSCvsToulouse FC crestToulouse FC

Montpellier HSC 0-3 Toulouse FC — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 27 Oct 2024 15:59 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Toulouse FC43%

Tofiko33% / 24% / 43%
Market31% / 27% / 42%
  • Montpellier HSC
  • Draw
  • Toulouse FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Toulouse FC, rating it at 42.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Montpellier HSC won 3 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Toulouse FC's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Montpellier HSC: DWLDW

Toulouse FC: WDLDL

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-26Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC1–2
2024-10-27Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC0–3
2024-05-03Toulouse vs Montpellier HSC1–2
2023-10-29Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse3–0
2023-04-09Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse1–2
2022-10-02Toulouse vs Montpellier HSC4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC?
Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC kick off?
Sun, 27 Oct 2024 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legToulouse 1-2 Montpellier26 Jan 2025 →