Dijon crestDijonvsNantes crestNantes

Dijon 0-4 Nantes — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2020-2021Sun, 16 May 2021 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nantes46%

  • Dijon 28%
  • Draw 26%
  • Nantes 46%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Nantes, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Dijon won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Nantes's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Dijon's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Nantes's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Dijon: LDLDD

Nantes: DLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-05-16Dijon vs Nantes0–4
2020-12-13Nantes vs Dijon1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Dijon vs Nantes?
Tofiko's model favours Nantes (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Dijon vs Nantes kick off?
Sun, 16 May 2021 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2020-2021.
What is the Dijon vs Nantes head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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