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FC Nantes crestFC NantesvsLe Havre AC crestLe Havre AC

FC Nantes vs Le Havre AC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: FC Nantes 20 Le Havre AC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Nantes43%

FC Nantes 43%
Draw 26%
Le Havre AC 31%
  • FC Nantes 43%
  • Draw 26%
  • Le Havre AC 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Nantes, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and FC Nantes won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Nantes: WLDLW

Le Havre AC: DWLWL

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 17%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-22FC Nantes vs Le Havre AC2–0
2025-11-08Le Havre AC vs FC Nantes1–1
2025-03-30Le Havre AC vs FC Nantes3–2
2024-11-24FC Nantes vs Le Havre AC0–2
2024-04-14Le Havre vs Nantes0–1
2023-11-26Nantes vs Le Havre0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Nantes vs Le Havre AC?
Tofiko's model favours FC Nantes (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Nantes vs Le Havre AC kick off?
Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the FC Nantes vs Le Havre AC head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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