FC Nantesvs
Olympique LyonnaisFC Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 07 Feb 2026 20:05 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Nantes 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais52%
- FC Nantes 25%
- Draw 23%
- Olympique Lyonnais 52%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Nantes won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Olympique Lyonnais's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Nantes: WLDLW
Olympique Lyonnais: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | FC Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Nantes | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-26 | FC Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Nantes | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-07 | Nantes vs Lyonnais | 1–3 |
| 2023-12-20 | Lyonnais vs Nantes | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-17 | Lyonnais vs Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-11 | Nantes vs Lyonnais | 0–0 |
| 2022-05-14 | Lyonnais vs Nantes | 3–2 |
| 2021-08-27 | Nantes vs Lyonnais | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais kick off?
- Sat, 07 Feb 2026 20:05 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.