FC Nantesvs
Olympique de MarseilleFC Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 02 May 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Nantes 3–0 Olympique de Marseille
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille52%
- FC Nantes 24%
- Draw 24%
- Olympique de Marseille 52%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 52.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Nantes won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Nantes: WLDLW
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | FC Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille | 3–0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Olympique de Marseille vs FC Nantes | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-02 | Olympique de Marseille vs FC Nantes | 2–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | FC Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-10 | Marseille vs Nantes | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-01 | Nantes vs Marseille | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-01 | Nantes vs Marseille | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | Marseille vs Nantes | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-20 | Marseille vs Nantes | 3–2 |
| 2021-12-01 | Nantes vs Marseille | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 13:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.