FC Nantesvs
Montpellier HSCFC Nantes 3-0 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 17 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Nantes47%
- FC Nantes 47%
- Draw 24%
- Montpellier HSC 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Nantes, rating it at 46.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Nantes won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. FC Nantes's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Nantes's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
FC Nantes: DLLLW
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-17 | FC Nantes vs Montpellier HSC | 3–0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Montpellier HSC vs FC Nantes | 1–3 |
| 2024-04-26 | Montpellier HSC vs Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Nantes vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Nantes vs Montpellier HSC | 0–3 |
| 2023-01-15 | Montpellier HSC vs Nantes | 0–3 |
| 2022-03-06 | Nantes vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-31 | Montpellier HSC vs Nantes | 2–0 |
| 2021-05-23 | Nantes vs Montpellier HSC | 1–2 |
| 2021-01-09 | Montpellier HSC vs Nantes | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Nantes vs Montpellier HSC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Nantes (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Nantes vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
- Sat, 17 May 2025 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the FC Nantes vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.