FC Nantesvs
OGC NiceFC Nantes 1-4 OGC Nice — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 25 Jan 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs OGC Nice42%
- FC Nantes 32%
- Draw 26%
- OGC Nice 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick OGC Nice, rating it at 42.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Nantes won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. FC Nantes's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. OGC Nice's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Nantes's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Nantes: DLLLW
OGC Nice: LDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | FC Nantes vs OGC Nice | 1–4 |
| 2025-09-13 | OGC Nice vs FC Nantes | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-04 | OGC Nice vs FC Nantes | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-20 | FC Nantes vs OGC Nice | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-31 | OGC Nice vs Nantes | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-02 | Nantes vs OGC Nice | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-12 | Nantes vs OGC Nice | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-23 | OGC Nice vs Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2022-01-14 | OGC Nice vs Nantes | 2–1 |
| 2021-09-12 | Nantes vs OGC Nice | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Nantes vs OGC Nice?
- Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Nantes vs OGC Nice kick off?
- Sun, 25 Jan 2026 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Nantes vs OGC Nice head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.