FC Nantesvs
Paris FCFC Nantes 1-2 Paris FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 18 Jan 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Nantes39%
- FC Nantes 39%
- Draw 25%
- Paris FC 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Nantes, rating it at 39.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Nantes won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Nantes's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Paris FC's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Nantes's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Nantes: DLLLW
Paris FC: WDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | FC Nantes vs Paris FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Paris FC vs FC Nantes | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Nantes vs Paris FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Nantes (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Nantes vs Paris FC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Jan 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Nantes vs Paris FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.