AS Saint-Etiennevs
FC NantesAS Saint-Etienne 1-1 FC Nantes — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 19 Jan 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Saint-Etienne42%
- AS Saint-Etienne 42%
- Draw 24%
- FC Nantes 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AS Saint-Etienne, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
FC Nantes: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-29 | FC Nantes vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–2 |
| 2022-05-21 | Nantes vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-22 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Nantes | 0–1 |
| 2021-02-03 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Nantes vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Saint-Etienne (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Sun, 19 Jan 2025 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 0 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.