FC Nantesvs
RC Strasbourg AlsaceFC Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 22 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Nantes 2–3 RC Strasbourg Alsace
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Strasbourg Alsace45%
- FC Nantes 31%
- Draw 25%
- RC Strasbourg Alsace 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Strasbourg Alsace, rating it at 44.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Nantes won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. RC Strasbourg Alsace's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC Nantes's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- RC Strasbourg Alsace's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Nantes: WLDLW
RC Strasbourg Alsace: LLLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | FC Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | 2–3 |
| 2025-08-24 | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Nantes | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-09 | FC Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-27 | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Nantes | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Nantes vs Strasbourg | 1–3 |
| 2023-10-06 | Strasbourg vs Nantes | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-07 | Nantes vs Strasbourg | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-31 | Strasbourg vs Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-06 | Strasbourg vs Nantes | 1–0 |
| 2021-11-07 | Nantes vs Strasbourg | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Alsace?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Strasbourg Alsace (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Alsace kick off?
- Sun, 22 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Nantes vs RC Strasbourg Alsace head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.