OGC Nicevs
FC MetzOGC Nice vs FC Metz Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 17 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: OGC Nice 0–0 FC Metz
Tofiko prediction
Model backs OGC Nice64%
- OGC Nice 64%
- Draw 25%
- FC Metz 11%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick OGC Nice, rating it at 64.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and OGC Nice won 3 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
OGC Nice: LLWWW
FC Metz: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.63Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | OGC Nice vs FC Metz | 0–0 |
| 2025-11-09 | FC Metz vs OGC Nice | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-27 | OGC Nice vs FC Metz | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-07 | FC Metz vs OGC Nice | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | FC Metz vs OGC Nice | 0–2 |
| 2021-11-27 | OGC Nice vs FC Metz | 0–1 |
| 2021-02-21 | OGC Nice vs FC Metz | 1–2 |
| 2021-01-09 | FC Metz vs OGC Nice | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win OGC Nice vs FC Metz?
- Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does OGC Nice vs FC Metz kick off?
- Sun, 17 May 2026 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the OGC Nice vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 1.63 goals per game.