Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
FC NantesParis Saint-Germain FC vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Wed, 22 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 FC Nantes
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC79%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 79%
- Draw 15%
- FC Nantes 6%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 79.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD
FC Nantes: WLDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Nantes | 3–0 |
| 2025-08-17 | FC Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-22 | FC Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Nantes | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Nantes | 4–2 |
| 2022-09-03 | Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-19 | Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 3–1 |
| 2021-11-20 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Nantes | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Nantes?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Nantes kick off?
- Wed, 22 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.