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Stade Rennais FC crestStade Rennais FCvsFC Metz crestFC Metz

Stade Rennais FC vs FC Metz Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sun, 22 Mar 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Stade Rennais FC 00 FC Metz

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stade Rennais FC69%

Stade Rennais FC 69%
Draw 19%
FC Metz 11%
  • Stade Rennais FC 69%
  • Draw 19%
  • FC Metz 11%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Stade Rennais FC, rating it at 69.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Stade Rennais FC won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Stade Rennais FC: WWLLW

FC Metz: WWWWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 3.38Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-22Stade Rennais FC vs FC Metz0–0
2025-11-28FC Metz vs Stade Rennais FC0–1
2024-05-04FC Metz vs Stade Rennes FC2–3
2023-08-13Stade Rennes FC vs FC Metz5–1
2022-03-20Stade Rennes FC vs FC Metz6–1
2021-10-17FC Metz vs Stade Rennes FC0–3
2021-03-20FC Metz vs Stade Rennes FC1–3
2020-12-23Stade Rennes FC vs FC Metz1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stade Rennais FC vs FC Metz?
Tofiko's model favours Stade Rennais FC (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stade Rennais FC vs FC Metz kick off?
Sun, 22 Mar 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Stade Rennais FC vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.

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