Montpellier HSCvs
Stade Rennais FCMontpellier HSC 0-4 Stade Rennais FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 02 Mar 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stade Rennais FC52%
- Montpellier HSC 25%
- Draw 22%
- Stade Rennais FC 52%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Stade Rennais FC, rating it at 52.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Montpellier HSC won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Stade Rennais FC's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Stade Rennais FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Stade Rennais FC: WDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennais FC | 0–4 |
| 2024-09-15 | Stade Rennais FC vs Montpellier HSC | 3–0 |
| 2024-02-03 | Stade Rennes FC vs Montpellier HSC | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennes FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-04-23 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennes FC | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Stade Rennes FC vs Montpellier HSC | 3–0 |
| 2022-02-25 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennes FC | 2–4 |
| 2021-11-20 | Stade Rennes FC vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2021-02-21 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennes FC | 2–1 |
| 2020-08-29 | Stade Rennes FC vs Montpellier HSC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennais FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Stade Rennais FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennais FC kick off?
- Sun, 02 Mar 2025 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs Stade Rennais FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.