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Stade Rennais FC crestStade Rennais FCvsFC Nantes crestFC Nantes

Stade Rennais FC vs FC Nantes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sun, 26 Apr 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Stade Rennais FC 21 FC Nantes

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stade Rennais FC65%

Stade Rennais FC 65%
Draw 21%
FC Nantes 14%
  • Stade Rennais FC 65%
  • Draw 21%
  • FC Nantes 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Stade Rennais FC, rating it at 64.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Stade Rennais FC won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Stade Rennais FC: WWLLW

FC Nantes: WLDLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26Stade Rennais FC vs FC Nantes2–1
2025-09-20FC Nantes vs Stade Rennais FC2–2
2025-04-18Stade Rennais FC vs FC Nantes2–1
2024-12-08FC Nantes vs Stade Rennais FC1–0
2024-04-20Nantes vs Stade Rennes FC0–3
2023-10-01Stade Rennes FC vs Nantes3–1
2023-02-26Nantes vs Stade Rennes FC0–1
2022-10-09Stade Rennes FC vs Nantes3–0
2022-05-11Nantes vs Stade Rennes FC2–1
2021-08-22Stade Rennes FC vs Nantes1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stade Rennais FC vs FC Nantes?
Tofiko's model favours Stade Rennais FC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stade Rennais FC vs FC Nantes kick off?
Sun, 26 Apr 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Stade Rennais FC vs FC Nantes head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

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