AJ Auxerrevs
AS Saint-EtienneAJ Auxerre 1-1 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Fri, 24 Jan 2025 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AJ Auxerre51%
- AJ Auxerre 51%
- Draw 24%
- AS Saint-Etienne 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AJ Auxerre, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AJ Auxerre won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AJ Auxerre: LLWDD
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | AJ Auxerre vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-05 | AS Saint-Etienne vs AJ Auxerre | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AJ Auxerre vs AS Saint-Etienne?
- Tofiko's model favours AJ Auxerre (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AJ Auxerre vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
- Fri, 24 Jan 2025 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AJ Auxerre vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.