Lille OSCvs
AS Saint-EtienneLille OSC 4-1 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 01 Feb 2025 20:05 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lille OSC71%
- Lille OSC 71%
- Draw 19%
- AS Saint-Etienne 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 71.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Lille OSC won 1 of 6, with 4 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Lille OSC: DWDWW
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | Lille OSC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 4–1 |
| 2024-09-13 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Lille OSC | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-11 | Lille OSC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 0–0 |
| 2021-08-21 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Lille OSC | 1–1 |
| 2021-05-16 | Lille OSC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 0–0 |
| 2020-11-29 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Lille OSC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Lille OSC vs AS Saint-Etienne?
- Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lille OSC vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
- Sat, 01 Feb 2025 20:05 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Lille OSC vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.