Olympique de Marseillevs
AS Saint-EtienneOlympique de Marseille 5-1 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 15 Feb 2025 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille72%
- Olympique de Marseille 72%
- Draw 18%
- AS Saint-Etienne 11%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 71.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 2 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Olympique de Marseille: LWLWW
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Etienne | 5–1 |
| 2024-12-08 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Olympique de Marseille | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-03 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Marseille | 2–4 |
| 2021-08-28 | Marseille vs AS Saint-Etienne | 3–1 |
| 2021-05-09 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2020-09-17 | Marseille vs AS Saint-Etienne | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Etienne?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
- Sat, 15 Feb 2025 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.