AS Saint-Etiennevs
FC MetzAS Saint-Etienne 1-0 FC Metz — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2021-2022Sun, 06 Mar 2022 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Saint-Etienne48%
- AS Saint-Etienne 48%
- Draw 24%
- FC Metz 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Saint-Etienne, rating it at 47.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC Metz's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
FC Metz: DDDWL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-06 | AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Metz | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | FC Metz vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-07 | AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Metz | 1–0 |
| 2020-10-25 | FC Metz vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Metz?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Saint-Etienne (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Metz kick off?
- Sun, 06 Mar 2022 12:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2021-2022.
- What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.