AS Saint-Etiennevs
AS Monaco FCAS Saint-Etienne 1-3 AS Monaco FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 03 May 2025 19:05 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC60%
- AS Saint-Etienne 20%
- Draw 20%
- AS Monaco FC 60%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 60.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. AS Monaco FC's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
AS Monaco FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | AS Saint-Etienne vs AS Monaco FC | 1–3 |
| 2024-08-17 | AS Monaco FC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-23 | AS Saint-Etienne vs AS Monaco | 1–4 |
| 2021-09-22 | AS Monaco vs AS Saint-Etienne | 3–1 |
| 2021-03-19 | AS Saint-Etienne vs AS Monaco | 0–4 |
| 2020-12-23 | AS Monaco vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Sat, 03 May 2025 19:05 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.