Montpellier HSCvs
AS Saint-EtienneMontpellier HSC 0-2 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 16 Mar 2025 16:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Montpellier HSC50%
- Montpellier HSC 50%
- Draw 22%
- AS Saint-Etienne 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Montpellier HSC, rating it at 50.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Montpellier HSC won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 0–2 |
| 2024-11-23 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-05 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC | 3–1 |
| 2021-09-12 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–0 |
| 2021-05-02 | Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 1–2 |
| 2020-11-01 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne?
- Tofiko's model favours Montpellier HSC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
- Sun, 16 Mar 2025 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.