AS Saint-Etienne crestAS Saint-EtiennevsMontpellier HSC crestMontpellier HSC

AS Saint-Etienne 1-0 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 23 Nov 2024 18:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AS Saint-Etienne43%

Tofiko43% / 23% / 34%
Market41% / 25% / 34%
  • AS Saint-Etienne
  • Draw
  • Montpellier HSC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AS Saint-Etienne, rating it at 43.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won 7 of 9. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Montpellier HSC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

AS Saint-Etienne: DLWWW

Montpellier HSC: DWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 9Games
  • 2.22Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC3–1
2026-02-07AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC1–0
2025-10-04Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne0–2
2025-03-16Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne0–2
2024-11-23AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC1–0
2022-02-05AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC3–1
2021-09-12Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne2–0
2021-05-02Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne1–2
2020-11-01AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC0–1

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FAQ

Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC?
Tofiko's model favours AS Saint-Etienne (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
Sat, 23 Nov 2024 18:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.22 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legMontpellier 0-2 Saint Etienne16 Mar 2025 →