AS Saint-Etiennevs
OGC NiceAS Saint-Etienne 1-3 OGC Nice — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 01 Mar 2025 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs OGC Nice47%
- AS Saint-Etienne 30%
- Draw 23%
- OGC Nice 47%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks OGC Nice, rating it at 47.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. OGC Nice's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
OGC Nice: LDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.88Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Etienne | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-26 | AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-01 | AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice | 1–3 |
| 2024-09-20 | OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Etienne | 8–0 |
| 2022-05-11 | OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Etienne | 4–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice | 0–3 |
| 2021-01-31 | OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Etienne | 0–1 |
| 2020-10-18 | AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice?
- Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice kick off?
- Sat, 01 Mar 2025 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.88 goals per game.