AS Saint-Etiennevs
Paris Saint-Germain FCAS Saint-Etienne 1-6 Paris Saint-Germain FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 29 Mar 2025 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC75%
- AS Saint-Etienne 9%
- Draw 16%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 75%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 75.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Paris Saint-Germain FC's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 15.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DDLWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 4.17Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–6 |
| 2025-01-12 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Saint-Etienne | 3–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
| 2021-04-18 | Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Saint-Etienne | 3–2 |
| 2021-01-06 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sat, 29 Mar 2025 18:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.17 goals per game.