Stade Brestois 29vs
Montpellier HSCStade Brestois 29 1-0 Montpellier HSC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sun, 04 May 2025 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stade Brestois 2957%
- Stade Brestois 29 57%
- Draw 22%
- Montpellier HSC 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Stade Brestois 29, rating it at 56.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Stade Brestois 29 won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Stade Brestois 29: DDLDW
Montpellier HSC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Brestois 29 | 3–1 |
| 2024-01-14 | Stade Brestois vs Montpellier HSC | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-26 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Brestois | 1–3 |
| 2023-02-12 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Brestois | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Stade Brestois vs Montpellier HSC | 0–7 |
| 2022-04-03 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Brestois | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-11 | Stade Brestois vs Montpellier HSC | 0–4 |
| 2021-05-16 | Montpellier HSC vs Stade Brestois | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-20 | Stade Brestois vs Montpellier HSC | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC?
- Tofiko's model favours Stade Brestois 29 (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the Stade Brestois 29 vs Montpellier HSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.