FC Nantes 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 19 Apr 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stade Brestois 2940%
- FC Nantes 35%
- Draw 25%
- Stade Brestois 29 40%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Stade Brestois 29, rating it at 40.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Nantes won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Nantes's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Nantes: DLLLW
Stade Brestois 29: DDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | FC Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Stade Brestois 29 vs FC Nantes | 0–0 |
| 2025-02-07 | FC Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-15 | Stade Brestois 29 vs FC Nantes | 4–1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Stade Brestois vs Nantes | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-17 | Nantes vs Stade Brestois | 0–2 |
| 2023-05-03 | Stade Brestois vs Nantes | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Nantes vs Stade Brestois | 4–1 |
| 2022-04-10 | Stade Brestois vs Nantes | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-22 | Nantes vs Stade Brestois | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Tofiko's model favours Stade Brestois 29 (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 kick off?
- Sun, 19 Apr 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.