RC Strasbourg Alsacevs
FC MetzRC Strasbourg Alsace 2-1 FC Metz — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 18 Jan 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Strasbourg Alsace64%
- RC Strasbourg Alsace 64%
- Draw 22%
- FC Metz 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Strasbourg Alsace, rating it at 63.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and RC Strasbourg Alsace won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
RC Strasbourg Alsace: WLDLL
FC Metz: DDDWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Metz | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | FC Metz vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Strasbourg vs FC Metz | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-24 | FC Metz vs Strasbourg | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-09 | FC Metz vs Strasbourg | 0–2 |
| 2021-09-17 | Strasbourg vs FC Metz | 3–0 |
| 2021-02-14 | FC Metz vs Strasbourg | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-13 | Strasbourg vs FC Metz | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Metz?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Strasbourg Alsace (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Metz kick off?
- Sun, 18 Jan 2026 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Metz head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.