RC Strasbourg Alsace crestRC Strasbourg AlsacevsAS Saint-Etienne crestAS Saint-Etienne

RC Strasbourg Alsace 3-1 AS Saint-Etienne — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 26 Apr 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RC Strasbourg Alsace64%

  • RC Strasbourg Alsace 64%
  • Draw 21%
  • AS Saint-Etienne 16%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RC Strasbourg Alsace, rating it at 63.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and RC Strasbourg Alsace won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. RC Strasbourg Alsace's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

RC Strasbourg Alsace: WLDLL

AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-26RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Saint-Etienne3–1
2024-11-02AS Saint-Etienne vs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–0
2022-02-20AS Saint-Etienne vs Strasbourg2–2
2021-10-17Strasbourg vs AS Saint-Etienne5–1
2021-01-17Strasbourg vs AS Saint-Etienne1–0
2020-09-12AS Saint-Etienne vs Strasbourg2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Saint-Etienne?
Tofiko's model favours RC Strasbourg Alsace (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Saint-Etienne kick off?
Sat, 26 Apr 2025 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
What is the RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Saint-Etienne head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

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