Toulouse FCvs
Olympique LyonnaisToulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 22 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais39%
- Toulouse FC 32%
- Draw 29%
- Olympique Lyonnais 39%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Toulouse FC won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Olympique Lyonnais's last 5 produced 14 goals — 2.8 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Toulouse FC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toulouse FC: WWDDD
Olympique Lyonnais: LLWLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Olympique Lyonnais vs Toulouse FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-01-18 | Olympique Lyonnais vs Toulouse FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-09-29 | Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-15 | Toulouse vs Lyonnais | 2–3 |
| 2023-12-10 | Lyonnais vs Toulouse | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-14 | Toulouse vs Lyonnais | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-07 | Lyonnais vs Toulouse | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.