AS Saint-Etiennevs
Toulouse FCAS Saint-Etienne 2-3 Toulouse FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1 2024-2025Sat, 17 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toulouse FC45%
- AS Saint-Etienne 31%
- Draw 24%
- Toulouse FC 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Toulouse FC, rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AS Saint-Etienne won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AS Saint-Etienne's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Toulouse FC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Saint-Etienne's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AS Saint-Etienne: WWWWW
Toulouse FC: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-17 | AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC | 2–3 |
| 2024-12-13 | Toulouse FC vs AS Saint-Etienne | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 May 2025 19:00 GMT — Ligue 1 2024-2025.
- What is the AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.