Nottingham Forest F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.63%
- Nottingham Forest F.C. 16%
- Draw 22%
- Manchester City F.C. 63%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 62.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Nottingham Forest F.C. won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Nottingham Forest F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Manchester City F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Nottingham Forest F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nottingham Forest F.C.: LWDLW
Manchester City F.C.: DLDWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.88Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Manchester City F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-08 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Manchester City F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City | 0–2 |
| 2023-09-23 | Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-31 | Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest | 6–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.